Introduction
Whether you want to fade or follow the public is your choice, but while betting on the NFL Super Bowl, you should at least have a rough idea about the NFL betting trends and awesome bowl betting trends. Betting trends portray the number of wagers placed on one team vs. the other in a sportsbook. The bookkeepers record every bet on their system that users place on their betting site. Using these records, the trends can be compiled from the total number of bets placed on a team and the real money wagered on them.
NFL betting Trends you should not miss
We have compiled some crazy NFL public betting trends you must not skip if you want to win. Follow these scores and odds betting trends if you’re going to win every bet you place.
Public betting trends NFL :
Regular-season wins mean nothing in the Super Bowl.
Indeed, it doesn’t matter how the team performed in the regular season. The team with the worst regular season record is at 13-2 in their last 16 Super Bowls. So, do not look at the regular season record while placing bets on a team.
Favorites hold a heavy advantage in Super Bowl history.
The favorites dominate the Super Bowl, as in the first fourteen Super Bowls, and the underdogs have won only three times. Looking at the records for Super Bowl 56, the favorites dominate by 36-19.
Underdogs have the edge in recent Super Bowls.
Underdogs have won a lot of Superbowl recently. They have won seven super bowls out of ten in the past ten years. The only favorite teams to win the Superbowl recently are the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs.
The favorites hate the Super Bowl points spread between 4-5
The end spread of 4-5 is not favorable for recent choices. The underdog shave won each game where the point spread was between 4-5. Take a peek at the last four games:
- Super Bowl 52: the Eagles vs. the Patriots; the Eagles won as 4.5-point underdogs
- Super Bowl 50: the Broncos vs. the Panthers; the Broncos won as 4.5-point underdogs
- Super Bowl 47: the Ravens vs. the 49ers; the Ravens won as 4.5-point underdogs
- Super Bowl 44: the Saints vs. the Colts, the Saints won as 5-point underdogs
AFC beats NFC West teams in Super Bowl
AFC is at 7-1 in the last Super Bowl games against the NFC West teams. Let’s take a look at these games:
- Super Bowl 54: The 49ers lost to the Chiefs
- Super Bowl 53:the Rams lost to the Patriots
- Super Bowl 49: The Seahawks lost to the Patriots
- Super Bowl: 48:the Seahawks beat the Broncos
- Super Bowl 47:the 49ers lost to the Ravens
- Super Bowl 43:the Cardinals lost to the Steelers
- Super Bowl 40:the Seahawks lost to the Steelers
- Super Bowl 36:the Rams lost to the Patriots
The Importance of Betting Trends
NFL betting trends are completely based on the volume of money wagered on one team vs. another at the bookmakers or betting sites. There are two main advantages of knowing the NFL public betting trends:
What is the majority betting on?
Knowing where most of the money is going from the Super Bowl betting trends helps you form a better betting strategy. You might know that most of the people betting on football lose. Therefore, betting against the public or fading the public, as they say, gives you a higher chance of winning the bet. But the bookmarkers are setting the odds and lines so efficiently that it’s hard to win just by going against the trends. Much money goes to that side when public opinion is heavy on one side. The bookmarkers notice this and often shift the odds and lines to the other side to balance it. In these situations, the ones with brains take all the money. You have to look for opportunities like these to place your bets.
Where is the smart money going?
As we have discussed above, smart money goes opposite to where the most money is. It is quite easy to spot the direction of public funds with the help of scores and odds betting trends. However, the movement of smart money is not so easy to catch. NFL Betting trends help us track the activity of smart money and help us understand what the smart betters are betting on.
How to Use Super Bowl Betting Trends
To understand Super Bowl betting trends better, you must understand how to assess the value and pattern of NFL betting trends. Let’s discuss the main factors contributing to NFL public betting trends.
History and sample size
While evaluating the worth of a trend, look for how long the movement has been functional and for how long the data provided in action has been pertinent to the event. A trend is reliable only if it has been happening for a long time and has much data to support it. A movement can only be functional and practical when it has a large sample size to keep it.
Validity vs. Anomaly
A trend can be an analytical misfit and tell us nothing at all. Some trends do not have any value but are just a bunch of meaningless stats and figures. Sattisticaloddities are frequent in the NFL betting trends. They do not have any logical reason behind them and can not serve as public betting trends NFL.
Relevancy
For a trend to be considered valid, it has to be based on relevant data. Some stats can be suitable for a long period, while others are valid only for a short period, and you have to assess whether the data provided in the NFL betting trends is relevant or not. It would be best to evaluate how long the data provided in the movement has been pertinent.
The Bottom Line
Using scores and odds betting trends, as well as NFL public betting trends, can help you place better bets. But you cannot completely depend on the betting trends and patterns. They can help you find new betting opportunities and practices, but in the end, they are just statistical data. It would be best if you placed your bets by keeping all the factors like team performance, home ground advantages, coach, and previous performances, as well as the scores and odds, and betting trends.
